Jan 10 2012

You Can’t Fire your Health Insurance Provider

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 9:41 pm

Mitt Romney’s comment the other night where he stated he liked being able to “fire people who provide services to him” was, in context, when he was talking about health insurance.  The problem is that most people cannot fire their health insurance providers.  45% of Americans get their health insurance through whatever company they work for.  As everybody knows, the health care options that are provided by an employer are limited, so employees can’t go shopping around for the best possible insurance for their budget.

An idea recently floated suggests that the exploding cost of health insurance we have experienced.  Health care costs have exploded from being merely 5% of GDP in 1960 to roughly 20% today.  Usually people cite the reason for such an increase is due to new technology being developed and administered.  New technology and drugs are expensive to develop, time-consuming, and take awhile to bring to market and actually make money.

However, an MIT economist, Amy Finkelstein believes that insurance is the main reason for the price increase, however, and how companies, health care workers, and hospitals have contributed to this problem by employing game theory.  Health care costs started to increase dramatically after Medicare was introduced in 1960.  From there, people who somebody else footing the bill are more likely to have procedures and tests done if somebody else is paying for it.  Since somebody else is paying for it, hospitals and health care workers basically can create a cash machine by investing in the newest and latest equipment.  Such ready cash encourages them to build new cardiac-care centers and stock up on the latest high-tech equipment, knowing it will be paid for. “If you produce expensive new things for medical care, people will buy them,” says Paul Ginsburg, president of the Center for the Study of Health System Change in Washington. He has found results similar to Finkelstein’s by looking at medical spending patterns in 12 U.S. cities.

From there, the situation essentially snow-balls: more people are having their tests paid for, hospitals make more money, insurance companies and governments must raise premiums to pay for all the increased number of tests….and then we see health care as a percentage of GDP increase from 5% to 1/5 of the economy.

New technology is great, but only if it adds value.  I would like to see some research on if these’s new pieces of information and technology add accuracy to diagnostics and what degree of accuracy they add.  If a test only adds less than 0.05% improvement in differential diagnostics and it is significantly more expensive than an older and cheaper test, it might be better for healthcare providers to issue the cheaper test first, then issue the more expensive test.

Please see Amy Finkelstein’s analysis for further information.

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Jan 04 2012

Record Insurance Claims in 2011

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 10:24 pm

With the start of the New Year, we can begin the long process of taking a look back at 2011 and start to hear what sort of year companies actually had.  In this case, 2011 was a record year for insurance claims: the total insurance claims for the year was roughly $380 billion dollars for property and casualty alone.  This number is more than double the amount paid out in insurance claims in 2010 and is triple the amount paid out, on average, for the past decade.  This was in turn driven by earthquakes and natural disasters in Japan and New Zealand.

As regular readers know, I’m very skeptical of numbers since I usually only see the conclusion and not how those numbers were arrived at.  I would like to know the process in determining this estimate before I draw any sort of conclusion.  This estimate came from Munich Re–the world’s largest reinsurer.  A reinsurer is a company that only deals with other insurance companies that basically insurers the insurance companies.  Yup, even insurance companies have insurance companies.

 

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Jan 03 2012

Liability Insurance under Obama-Care

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 8:55 pm

There is a new analysis and research report put out by Moody’s on Monday that gives an overview of the professional liability marketplace; in particular, for liability insurance for doctors and other health care professionals.  You can read the article here at Medical Malpractice Insurance Market to evolve with health care changes.

One of the problems with analyzing this industry is that A) the market is so fragmented with, literally, hundreds of different underwriters that to get an idea of trends and other concerns is next to impossible and B) there is no dominant company in the industry (the top five companies only comprise less than 30% of the total market value), so you have to do a lot of data mining with tons of unrealistic assumptions in order to produce something with some insight.  Anyways, Moody’s notes that the sector has reported some strong results since the early 2000s due to tort reform at the state level and favorable liability trends more recently.  This is code for the fact that insurers are better at paying out as little as possible over the past few years.

Now, I don’t trust Moody’s or any other ratings agency regardless of how detailed their analysis is for a very simple reason: they are paid to report on companies and industries by the very same companies that operate in that industry.  It is the equivalent of a yes-man being paid to compliment his boss: he’ll find something nice to say regardless of what else is going on.

But, the real issue at stake here is something the report didn’t mention: what is going to happen to professional liability insurance for the health care industry when Obama-care is put into effect?  Will more lawsuits happen when doctors do not comply with new rules and regulations, or will lawsuits decrease because there are more rules and less room for courts decide when professional conduct wasn’t followed?

I don’t know, but I am looking forward to thinking about this.

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Jan 02 2012

Car Insurance Quotes: What you need to know

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 7:09 pm

I wasn’t going to write about car insurance quotes today–or ever, for that matter–but one of my young cousins who just got his license called me up to complain about an issue.  His problem is actually quite common and I thought I would give some pieces of advice.

My cousin just turned sixteen and is looking for what auto insurance he should invest in.  He, of course, went immediately to the computer and started looking around for an online quoting machine.  Fine.  He found one.  I knew he would.  Entered his information.

But, this is where the problem came from.  He thought that once he had filed out the application and they said that he was approved, he didn’t know it wasn’t an official legal contract, but one that is tentatively approved pending review and approval.  It is only a valid legal contract once the insurance company has approved it, not before.

I realized that this could be a tremendous source of confusion, particularly for those people who are getting car insurance quotes online.  Many companies say you can get auto insurance in ten minutes and print out a proof of insurance form right after that.  Yes, this is technically true and you do, in fact, have temporary auto insurance, but you don’t have a contract.  The insurance companies and underwriters can still not sign off on the agreement and not issue you insurance and they will also revoke the temporary insurance.

People get upset about this a lot and this is understandable.  They feel as if the online insurance quote machines represent themselves as saying they have a legal contract with the companies once a customer fills out all of the needed information.  This is not so.  Insurance, car insurance, Property and casualty, term, health, life, etc. are all two-party contracts between the insurur and the insured.  In order to have a contract, you must have acceptance by both parties.  The person filing out their personal information for online car insurance quotes, once they find the insurance company they want to us, and presses the “submit” button, has actually accepted one-side of the contract.  However, a contract cannot be in force until the insurance company accepts the offer.

Big difference.

Oh, and for those of you wondering, my cousin didn’t know that he didn’t have car insurance until he was pulled over and the very nice, but very scary, police officer kindly explained to him what he had done and that he should get off the road so he doesn’t have to arrest him. 

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Jan 01 2012

Misspent Youth and Banks

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 4:47 pm

In my misspent youth where I was seduced by the idea of finance and investing, I spent a lot of time puttering around investment banks and private investment funds.  From there, I learned several important lessons.  The first being that if you want to have a meaningful career, don’t go into finance.  The second is that everybody is so busy they don’t have time to think.  And, the third, and most important, is that the cause of most of our financial problems, such as the subprime debt holocaust, can be traced back to one very poor management decision.

Investment banks, such as Goldman Sachs, should never be allowed to be publicly traded corporations.  Period.

Before I hear a bunch of free-market complaints and this this, that, and the other thing, I just want to remind you that my opinions really don’t matter.  Just hear me out.

The reason why Investment banks should only be partnerships is simple: when you gamble with your own money, rather than some anonymous stockholder, most horrible deals will have been avoided.  Think about it: would a guy in his fifties who would be betting his retirement money ever invest in subprime mortgages?  No!  That would be insane.  However, if you are playing with some money from a stock holder you don’t know and you have an incentive where you could make millions of dollars if you play this bet, this creates a perverse incentive for that person to take the risk.  Magnify it by a hundred thousand, and next thing you know you are under-writing mortgages for billions of dollars with the credit-worthiness of people who have no income, no jobs, and no income (NINJA loans).

The best book I have read this year on this subject is the Tags: , , ,


Jan 01 2012

Federalism and Insurance: why Federal insurance laws fall short

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 4:31 pm

There is a great myth about the insurance world that I think needs addressing.  The first myth is simple: insurance companies are regulated at the Federal Level.

This is the worst myth to address because, well, it’s complicated.  When state law and federal law, in the USA, come into conflict, the Federal law is the one that is dominant.  This is true from a constitutional and from a Supreme Court level, but it misses a lot of what goes on in the insurance world.  For instance, even though Federal Law trumps state law, the laws of an individual state still dictate what happens and how insurance claims are administered.  Even if you state that all insurance companies must provide a level of service or obey certain statutes, the state is still the enforcing agency and more often than not, they must follow certain state guidelines.

Let us take the problem that is associated with the best way to regulate insurance companies on a national level.  Every single state has an insurance division that oversees the best practices and regulates rules and procedures that every insurance company must follow.  Let us examine the implications of this.

What this means is that every insurance company has to conform to the standards and practices of that states rules and regulations.  This means that every state, every single state, has different forms and rules and regulations that must be followed in order for an insurance company to perform its duties.  The state of Colorado has different rules and regs from any other state, such as Michigan, for an insurance company to operate.

Despite what people may think and feel, insurance companies hands are usually strapped when it comes to dealing with claims in that particular state.  We know this because a licensed insurance agent must pass a test for each state he or she can sell insurance in (please note the difference between selling and underwriting: a person can sell you insurance in a state, but this doesn’t mean the insurance company will necessarily approve your application for insurance).  This is because, if you have a conflict with an insurance company, it will be adjudicated in state court, not federal court.  An obvious implication of these legislative beasts are that insurance companies must apply and comply with state laws in order to write insurance in a given state.  This issue wasn’t a problem for most states until the past two decades when moral, morale, and financial issues got mixed up in an insurance adjusters’s business.  States that are difficult for an insurance company to do business in (cough, cough…California) do not have as many insurance companies willing to operate in as say, Nebraska.  This creates a situation where the states that are the easiest to do business in usually end up having the cheapest insurance.  [This is a massive aside, but having been a resident of Nebraska, I can tell you that driving there, just given the harsh conditions under which drivers usually operate, should be at least on par with the cost of doing business in California; true, drivers in California are much more aggressive and live in areas that are more crime ridden, but the fact that you don't have to worry about black ice and other harsh weather should, under statistical analysis, make the areas equal for insurance.  This is not the case.  To get car insurance in California is much, much more expensive than in Nebraska, and most of the problems arise from inept legislation and the inane belief that you can legislate fairness and lower prices.  This isn't true: the more expensive it is for a company to operate in a state, the less companies are willing to operate there, and also the more expensive it is for the drivers who drive there to get insurance.  Now, I have driven in California and I was terrified most of the time--if these people actually drove like they respected human life, everybody's rates would be lower; but that isn't the issue.  No, the issue is that the states' requirements have a significant impact on pricing in this industry.  And, the conclusion you should draw is that no law can get ride of selfish and stupid behavior.  That's a decision made on an individual bases.  But, the state isn't helping matters when they add a bunch of red tape to the process.  While it may feel good to think--the keyword is, as always, "think"--that you can actually get one up on an insurance company, the truth is you are paying for it in higher premiums.  One of the central themes of this blog is that insurance is based on rules and regulations, and also on intensive mathematical study.  There are about a dozen key inputs to determine how much an insurance company should charge in order to underwrite the risk of a individual's driving, health care, property, and life insurance, chief among which, for auto insurance, for example, where you drive, the whether there and reckless/behavior of the drivers in your local, so if you live in a sunshine state, the reason you pay so much is probably due to what your brilliant elected officials are doing....just remember: when they pass a law to require something that sounds like you could save money, you aren't: they--being insurance companies--will either raise premiums or exit the state.  It is as simply as that.  The more rules and regulations you have, you will have a fewer number of insurance companies to choose from and your premiums will be higher.  It's math, get past it, accept it, and learn how to game the system in another way...but I digress].

So, let us come back to the state versus federal legislation.  The Federal Government can only tell, in a vauge form, what states should do.  It is still the responsibility of the states to come with standard procedures, forms, and  an adjudication process to deal with insurance issues.

If the Devil is in the details, Lucifer himself will be found hiding in the state mandated–yes, states’ mandated forms–for how insurance claims are applied.

The issue with this is that sometimes different states have different check marks for different claims.  A health insurance claim filed in say, Colorado, might be interrupted differently in Nebraska.  For one state, a health insurance form might count a procedure as “preventive” while another may count the procedure as “diagnostic.” The insurance company and its claims adjusters have no control over this designation.  It’s what the states mandate.

How does this impact Federal legislation on how insurance companies behave?

Basically, the Federal Government can tell the states what they want in the law, but it is still up to the states to employ practices that will enforce the Federal Governments standards.  The states do the paperwork; and those who do the paperwork will define reality.  Also, remember: of everybody I know who works for a state government, I can safely say that these people aren’t the rock stars of free thinking; they are the people who are good at filling out paperwork and passing on tough decisions to other people.  It’s important to remember that of the organized genocides that have taken place in the last hundred years (Nazi Germany, Soviet Union, Ottoman Empire, China, etc.), these are the sorts of people who would rubber-stamp a decision and pass it along.  They aren’t going to make a landmark decision that will end up in court.  It is there job to prevent people from going to court so the judges who preside over these sorts of cases (an attorney friend of mine calls judges–in general– the “C” students of law school) so they do not have to change case law and send the entire system into chaos.

Hmm….so, what if the Federal law is written, so ineptly, that the states don’t know what to do?  Well, in this case, we wind up in court.  Now, remember, the author of this blog is described as bitter and cynical on his best day, has to say that insurance companies are simple too big to function like the mafia organizations they are vilified to be.  No, rather, they are just following the rules of the state.  Until the state changes its rules, or, there is a significant ruling that tells them how to treat these changes, they will simple follow what the states want them to do.  Nothing more; nothing less.

This is why any attempt at Federal Legislation won’t benefit the consumer and people who think they are entitled to some sort of benefits will end up, not only fighting legal battles in court, but they will probably lose.  So, unless the Federal Legislation has been written by a modern day Jefferson, chances are that nothing will change, unless you count an addition to government regulation a change.  But, in term, this will do nothing more than make insurance more expensive for everyone (because you have to have another person over-looking something).

Given that, in 2007, the average person spent about $7,421 on health care alone (that comes out to about $2.24 trillion dollars or about 16% of GDP–click here for the article), you can only image the forests that died in order to produce these reports on claims.

When I turned thirty, I gave up on giving advice in person, but it still doesn’t mean I can’t complain and be obnoxious in blog form, so, I’d have to say that the first step in reducing insurance costs would be to actually have a rational and efficient claims process.

I hope I live long enough so that I can see some Federal Legislation on the insurance world that sounds as if it was written by people who worked in this world; not by people who thought they understood it.

Draw your own conclusions.

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Jan 01 2012

A Health Insurance Loop-hole: why you can get charged for a procedure

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 12:22 am

There is an excellent article on how health insurance companies are using a loophole to charge consumer’s even if the consumer thinks that they should be getting a service for free.  Under Obama-care, there are rules that have been put into place where insurance companies must pay everything for a procedure that is meant to be for prevention purposes only.  Sounds nice, right?  For instance, many health insurance plans state that preventive treatments, such as a colonoscopy, will be free and that there is no other expenses for the consumer for out of pocket expenses.  However, a lot can happen when you go under for a procedure and due to some loop-holes in insurance law and contracts where a “preventative” procedure morphs into a diagnostic procedure if anything is found, like polyps.  So, people who think they are not going to pay anything may wind up with a very expensive bill.

The central problem with this issue is one of classification: when insurance claims are filed out and submitted to the insurance companies, the hospital accounts receivable department has to fill out a check-list relating to all the services that were provided to a patient.  A free procedure becomes an expensive procedure if they find anything.

This issue is essentially a catch-22 type of situation.  The reason you go in to get preventative care is to make sure nothing is wrong or that there is a simple problem you can solve  with a little bit of effort.  Basically, what the law is saying is that you can get what you want for free only if you don’t need it in the first place.

Now, I’m not sure if this classification is the result of anything malicious on the part of insurance companies; it is probably just a classification error that our brilliant and august body of lawmakers imposed without thinking about how health insurance companies actually operate.  But, it does need to be addressed.  The outstanding questions that remain is how this loop-hole is applied in the individual state and whether there is something at the state level to address this question.

The article can be found here at Preventive Care: free, only when it’s not.

 

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Dec 30 2011

Groupon and Cheap Health Insurance

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 7:47 pm

There is a very interesting article on how people are saving money by purchasing elective medical care–like dental or Lasik procedures–through Groupon and other deal sites.

Please read the entire article here at Uninsured turn to daily deal sites for health care.

I would post more if I wasn’t sick.

Happy New Years!


Dec 27 2011

Bank Life Insurance Sales Declined in 2011

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 8:30 pm

According to data released on the 20th of December, bank life insurance sales have continued to trend down during 2011 as compared to 2010. Bank-Owned Life Insurance (“BOLI”) are life insurance policies taken out by a bank with the bank as a beneficiary.  The life insurance policies, term or otherwise, are taken out on the key management personal and are considered assets of the bank.  Basically, a bank or other financial institution collects the life insurance when the person dies and is given the proceeds tax-free.  It’s a good investment.  In the third quarter of 2010, banks sold $513 million; the largest amount ever sold in one quarter.  Since then, less banks are taking out life insurance.

For the full article, please click here at bank life insurance sales decline.

The question is why this investment vehicle isn’t as popular today as it was last year.  Basically, the reasons are two-fold.  The first is that many underwriters of BOLIs, such as ALLstate and Transamerica, have left the market.  Others have changed their product line-up to more closely match the insurance companies business interests.  This includes trying to sell more term and wholelife insurance rather than any insurance product that can exist forever once a lump-sum is paid. Term life insurance only exists for a set-period of time (hence the term “Term”) and it is much easier for an insurance company to plan for payments given they know when the insurance product will expire. 

One of the concerns and rumors in the industry is that many insurance companies are having trouble trying to figure out when people are going to die, in particular, when the baby boomers start to die.  There is a wide-variety of opinions on how long most baby-boomers will live for, but the consensus is that insurance companies do not want a liability on their books that they only received one lump sum for 40 years ago and now have to pay out a considerable amount of money they weren’t planning on paying out.

Another problem is collecting these premiums.  Somebody may die and then a year or two later the policy’s beneficiaries figures out they are owed money, and come to collect.  This sort of problem is going to be a nightmare on both claims adjusters, financial planning, investment decisions, and the timing of cash flows. 

So, this doesn’t surprise one bit.

 

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Dec 21 2011

Texts, a few lies, a scandal, and auto insurance

Category: UncategorizedInsurance Guy @ 9:05 pm

There’s an interesting article on how some people believe that the National Transportation Safety Board (“NTSB”) “made-up” estimates that texting and use of other PDA, such as smart phones, etc., caused roughly 3,000 deaths this year.  The article can be read here at the Volokh Conspiracy on auto insurance and texting (hat tip to the Instapundit for pointing this out; if you don’t check out the Instapudnit a few times I week, I suggest that you do so).

I appreciate the work and effort, particularly on legal elements that the authors of the Volokh comment on, but in this case I think there are missing the point.

The central point of the article is that texting and the use of PDAs is nothing more than a subset of auto and car accidents that should be classified as “distracted driving.”  Therefore, the NTSB is false in supporting the estimates of the number of deaths caused by texting is approximately 3,000.

I think this analysis, while insightful, misses the point.

The NTSB is a government agency whose mission, among other things, is to try to create a safe, quick, and efficient environment for drivers and transportation of goods.  They can recommend various laws and changes to how states manage traffic in order to promote safety.  In this case, the NTSB is merely stating that texting and the use of PDAs can be attributed to deaths and they provide an estimate of the number of deaths that these activities may have caused.  Nothing more, nothing less.

The Volokh conspiracy challenges the numbers on this estimate, but it doesn’t address the central point: distracted drivers cause accidents.  I don’t think anybody will argue with that point.  Yet, by challenging the death estimates’ credibility, it somehow casts a shadow on if texting and driving do in fact cause accidents.

There are very financial institutions which I will believe the numbers and estimates that are produced.  I hate investment banks (they lie), regular banks are just as corrupt, other Government-sponsered entities would be better run by a committee composed of drunken college students and dementia sufferers, and credit card processors would be evil if they weren’t managed by crooks and morons (the good credit card processors have crooks in charge with morons working for them; the bad, vice versa).  But, insurance companies are actually well run, efficient, and those insurance companies that provide insurance for auto, property and casualty, etc., are one of the few companies in the financial world that didn’t need to be bailed-out for short-sighted, idiotic investment decisions.  This is because they have accurate databases that include, literally, billions of records that can be organized under thousands of different criteria to determine what, in fact, caused accidents and insurance claims.

There numbers and estimates are what the NTSB uses to provide recommendations on how to create a safe driving environment.  In turn, if the states support policies which limit car accidents, deaths, etc., insurance rates for cars, personal injury, are limited, and, in the magical world of statistics, this will result in lower insurance premiums for everybody.

This is the point the NTSB was trying to make; the argument shouldn’t be undermined by stating that the deaths attributed to texting and driving is probably “off.”

The point of NTSB’s chairman, A.P. Herman, is that accidents caused by texting, which is a subset of distracted driving, poise a problem and the statistics and accident-fatality reports on this subject are fairly accurate.  Just because there is a discretion in how many deaths’ occur due to texting, doesn’t undermine the central point: limit distracted drivers, less distracted drivers means less accidents, and less accidents mean lower insurance premiums.

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